Condition: Naive vs Guided — both conditions, scored identically
Figures shown: every individual run's raw Q11 integer and Q12 value count (10 per model per condition) — not accuracy
Page generated: 2026-08-16
Data (model runs) generated: 2026-04-11
Scoring inputs: ground truth cc2ed8f5, evaluate.py 845b70e9
Q11 asks HOW MANY instances of “e” as a conjunction are on the page; Q12 asks for the text after each one, as a pipe-separated list. The two answers state the same count twice, so a mismatch is a model contradicting itself within one response. This is not an accuracy measure — nothing is scored against ground truth, so the Δ columns compare self-contradiction RATES between the two prompt conditions, not correctness. A Q12 value count drops empty pipe segments, so a legitimately blank Q12 (when Q11 = 0) counts as 0 rather than 1. 10 runs per model per condition; t_varied is not read.
Disagreements as a share of the answers where Q11 parsed as an integer. A NEGATIVE Δ means guidance reduced self-contradiction.
| Model | Naive | Guided | Δ | Naive n | Guided n | Naive count | Guided count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 2.3% | 1.6% | -0.8% | 390 | 386 | 9 | 6 |
| GPT | 0.0% | 0.0% | ±0.0% | 390 | 390 | 0 | 0 |
| Gemini 2.5 | 3.8% | 0.5% | -3.3% | 390 | 387 | 15 | 2 |
| Gemini 3.1 | 0.3% | 0.8% | +0.5% | 390 | 390 | 1 | 3 |
| Claude (thinking) | 0.5% | 0.3% | -0.3% | 390 | 390 | 2 | 1 |
| All models | 1.4% | 0.6% | -0.8% | 1950 | 1943 | 27 | 12 |
Whether the count claimed in Q11 EXCEEDS the number of values actually listed in Q12, or falls short of it. On the naive page these ran almost entirely one way; this shows whether guidance changes that.
| Model | Q11 > #Q12 | Q11 < #Q12 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive | Guided | Δ | Naive | Guided | Δ | |
| Claude | 2.3% | 1.6% | -0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ±0.0% |
| GPT | 0.0% | 0.0% | ±0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ±0.0% |
| Gemini 2.5 | 3.8% | 0.0% | -3.8% | 0.0% | 0.5% | +0.5% |
| Gemini 3.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ±0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | +0.5% |
| Claude (thinking) | 0.5% | 0.3% | -0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ±0.0% |
| Page | Model | Run | Q11 claimed | #Q12 listed | GT Q11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpg | Claude | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpg | Claude | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpg | Claude | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpg | Claude (thinking) | 9 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| 22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpg | Gemini 3.1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpg | Claude | 1 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpg | Claude | 3 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpg | Claude | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| 27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpg | Claude | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpg | Claude (thinking) | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 34 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 17 p1.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 3 |
| 37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 1 | 53 | 47 | 8 |
| 37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 2 | 53 | 47 | 8 |
| 37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 5 | 53 | 47 | 8 |
| 37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 7 | 71 | 4 | 8 |
| 37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 9 | 71 | 4 | 8 |
| 38 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p3.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 3 |
| Page | Model | Run | Q11 claimed | #Q12 listed | GT Q11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpg | Claude | 10 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpg | Gemini 3.1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpg | Gemini 3.1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpg | Gemini 3.1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 08 p5.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 08 p5.jpg | Gemini 2.5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p1.jpg | Claude | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpg | Claude (thinking) | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 |