Condition: Naive vs Guided — both conditions, scored identically
Figures shown: every individual run's raw Q11 integer and Q12 value count (10 per model per condition) — not accuracy

Page generated: 2026-08-16
Data (model runs) generated: 2026-04-11
Scoring inputs: ground truth cc2ed8f5, evaluate.py 845b70e9

Q11 count vs number of Q12 values: Naive vs Guided

Q11 asks HOW MANY instances of “e” as a conjunction are on the page; Q12 asks for the text after each one, as a pipe-separated list. The two answers state the same count twice, so a mismatch is a model contradicting itself within one response. This is not an accuracy measure — nothing is scored against ground truth, so the Δ columns compare self-contradiction RATES between the two prompt conditions, not correctness. A Q12 value count drops empty pipe segments, so a legitimately blank Q12 (when Q11 = 0) counts as 0 rather than 1. 10 runs per model per condition; t_varied is not read.

1. Self-Contradiction Rate per Model

Disagreements as a share of the answers where Q11 parsed as an integer. A NEGATIVE Δ means guidance reduced self-contradiction.

ModelNaiveGuidedΔNaive nGuided nNaive countGuided count
Claude2.3%1.6%-0.8%39038696
GPT0.0%0.0%±0.0%39039000
Gemini 2.53.8%0.5%-3.3%390387152
Gemini 3.10.3%0.8%+0.5%39039013
Claude (thinking)0.5%0.3%-0.3%39039021
All models1.4%0.6%-0.8%195019432712

2. Direction of the Contradiction

Whether the count claimed in Q11 EXCEEDS the number of values actually listed in Q12, or falls short of it. On the naive page these ran almost entirely one way; this shows whether guidance changes that.

ModelQ11 > #Q12Q11 < #Q12
NaiveGuidedΔNaiveGuidedΔ
Claude2.3%1.6%-0.8%0.0%0.0%±0.0%
GPT0.0%0.0%±0.0%0.0%0.0%±0.0%
Gemini 2.53.8%0.0%-3.8%0.0%0.5%+0.5%
Gemini 3.10.0%0.0%±0.0%0.3%0.8%+0.5%
Claude (thinking)0.5%0.3%-0.3%0.0%0.0%±0.0%

3a. Every Disagreement — Naive (27)

PageModelRunQ11 claimed#Q12 listedGT Q11
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude1752
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude4752
1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpgClaude3866
1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpgClaude7866
1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpgClaude10866
1 · AVS IS 758-781 1767 07 01.jpgClaude (thinking)91066
22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpgGemini 3.110233
27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpgClaude1863
27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpgClaude3863
27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpgClaude4853
27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpgClaude5863
27 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 02 20.jpgClaude (thinking)2763
13 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p2.jpgGemini 2.53420
13 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p2.jpgGemini 2.54420
13 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p2.jpgGemini 2.59420
30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpgGemini 2.51320
30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpgGemini 2.52320
30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpgGemini 2.53320
30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpgGemini 2.57320
30 · AVS IS 758-781 1769 05 p2.jpgGemini 2.58320
34 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 17 p1.jpgGemini 2.571383
37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpgGemini 2.5153478
37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpgGemini 2.5253478
37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpgGemini 2.5553478
37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpgGemini 2.577148
37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpgGemini 2.597148
38 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p3.jpgGemini 2.561183

3b. Every Disagreement — Guided (12)

PageModelRunQ11 claimed#Q12 listedGT Q11
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude4752
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude6752
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude8752
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude9752
28 · AVS IS 758-781 1766 02.jpgClaude10872
22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpgGemini 3.13233
22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpgGemini 3.14233
22 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 01 02.jpgGemini 3.110233
12 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 08 p5.jpgGemini 2.52787
12 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 08 p5.jpgGemini 2.56787
14 · AVS IS 758-781 1768 05 09 p1.jpgClaude5633
37 · AVS IS 758-781 1770 05 28 p2.jpgClaude (thinking)2658