Condition: Naive vs Guided — both conditions, scored identically
Figures shown: mean accuracy across 10 runs per temperature; t0 vs varied within each condition, naive and guided in separate tables

Page generated: 2026-08-16
Data (model runs) generated: 2026-04-11
Scoring inputs: ground truth cc2ed8f5, evaluate.py 845b70e9

Temperature Sensitivity: t0 vs varied

Δ = varied − t0, within each condition. The two tables are the two prompt conditions; they are kept separate because the comparison of interest here is temperature, not naive vs guided.
Claude, GPT, Gemini 2.5 have both temperature conditions. Gemini 3.1 shows t0 only — its temperature is not settable, so a varied condition does not exist by design (this is an exception, not missing data). Claude (thinking) shows t1 only — extended thinking requires temperature 1, so it has neither t0 nor varied. 10 runs per model per temperature.

Naive — models given the questions only, no expert guidance

Q#DescriptionClaudeGPTGemini 2.5Gemini 3.1Claude (thinking)
t0variedΔt0variedΔt0variedΔt0t1
Feature identification
Q1 BoolHas date?92.3%91.5%-0.8%77.4%76.7%-0.8%97.4%96.4%-1.0%100.0%97.2%
Q3 BoolTwo columns?92.3%92.3%±0.0%97.2%97.2%±0.0%92.8%93.8%+1.0%95.6%94.1%
Q4 BoolSigned?97.4%97.4%±0.0%92.8%92.3%-0.5%83.1%80.3%-2.8%100.0%95.1%
Q6 BoolTop-left mark?74.4%74.8%+0.4%80.3%79.0%-1.3%90.0%89.2%-0.8%87.2%70.3%
Q21 BoolBracket annotation?97.1%96.6%-0.6%81.2%79.2%-2.0%89.9%89.7%-0.2%94.4%96.6%
Spatial location
Q5 StrSignature location97.4%97.4%±0.0%92.8%92.3%-0.5%84.4%82.1%-2.3%100.0%95.1%
Counting
Q7 IntArchivist marks55.1%55.5%+0.4%46.7%45.6%-1.0%51.5%51.0%-0.5%62.6%56.4%
Q8 IntQuondam count48.7%48.3%-0.4%24.9%25.1%+0.3%44.6%43.6%-1.0%67.2%58.5%
Q9 IntCon count47.4%44.5%-3.0%23.1%20.8%-2.3%64.4%65.9%+1.5%69.5%69.7%
Q11 IntE conjunction count22.6%22.6%±0.0%28.5%26.7%-1.8%17.7%24.9%+7.2%45.4%39.2%
Q13 IntNamed travelers13.6%14.7%+1.1%10.0%14.6%+4.6%40.5%36.4%-4.1%20.0%44.9%
Q14 IntUnnamed travelers35.4%33.4%-2.0%15.6%17.9%+2.3%48.2%47.4%-0.8%47.9%47.2%
Q15 IntPlaces of origin30.3%29.8%-0.4%2.6%6.7%+4.1%33.6%33.6%±0.0%34.4%31.0%
Q16 IntUnique places of stay37.9%42.2%+4.2%29.7%22.3%-7.4%45.4%44.9%-0.5%52.6%47.7%
Q18 IntStay w/ person name42.8%45.5%+2.7%12.8%13.6%+0.8%81.3%71.3%-10.0%62.6%60.0%
Q19 IntBracket total32.3%33.9%+1.6%59.5%55.1%-4.4%53.3%50.3%-3.1%72.8%39.5%
Transcription
Q10 TextWords after con86.0%85.3%-0.7%60.9%58.1%-2.8%92.2%91.2%-1.0%91.5%88.8%
Q12 TextWords after e58.6%58.8%+0.2%41.1%40.7%-0.4%51.8%52.2%+0.3%68.7%62.5%
Q22 TextAnnotation text83.2%82.4%-0.8%63.4%60.2%-3.2%80.4%79.0%-1.4%90.8%83.6%
Counting + Spatial location
Q17 PairStay per column31.0%31.6%+0.6%22.3%17.7%-4.6%60.3%54.6%-5.6%50.0%34.4%
Q20 PairBrackets per column25.6%24.9%-0.7%52.1%47.7%-4.4%51.0%47.2%-3.8%72.8%35.6%
Transcription + Rule-based resolution
Q2 IntYear?45.2%44.9%-0.3%39.1%36.1%-3.0%67.9%69.9%+2.0%67.5%48.1%
Overall56.6%56.7%±0.0%47.7%46.5%-1.3%64.5%63.3%-1.3%70.6%63.5%

Guided — models given the questions plus expert domain guidance

Q#DescriptionClaudeGPTGemini 2.5Gemini 3.1Claude (thinking)
t0variedΔt0variedΔt0variedΔt0t1
Feature identification
Q1 BoolHas date?100.0%100.0%±0.0%97.7%97.2%-0.5%97.4%97.2%-0.2%100.0%100.0%
Q3 BoolTwo columns?92.2%92.2%±0.0%97.4%97.4%±0.0%97.9%97.9%±0.0%100.0%99.2%
Q4 BoolSigned?92.7%94.8%+2.1%100.0%99.7%-0.3%97.4%97.7%+0.3%100.0%100.0%
Q6 BoolTop-left mark?77.7%74.6%-3.1%83.8%76.9%-6.9%91.0%89.5%-1.5%84.1%79.0%
Q21 BoolBracket annotation?97.1%97.1%±0.0%77.1%74.2%-2.9%89.9%90.6%+0.7%95.5%97.7%
Spatial location
Q5 StrSignature location92.7%94.8%+2.1%100.0%99.7%-0.3%100.0%99.5%-0.5%100.0%100.0%
Counting
Q7 IntArchivist marks67.6%63.2%-4.4%52.3%48.2%-4.1%71.6%72.0%+0.4%72.3%65.4%
Q8 IntQuondam count49.5%49.5%±0.0%25.9%25.6%-0.3%46.8%44.5%-2.3%65.9%60.3%
Q9 IntCon count45.3%43.5%-1.8%22.6%21.0%-1.5%71.8%73.3%+1.4%69.0%71.5%
Q11 IntE conjunction count24.4%26.2%+1.8%32.6%29.5%-3.1%32.0%37.8%+5.7%47.2%45.6%
Q13 IntNamed travelers4.7%10.1%+5.4%15.4%11.5%-3.8%37.2%39.8%+2.6%31.3%50.3%
Q14 IntUnnamed travelers35.2%35.5%+0.3%16.2%16.9%+0.8%53.7%54.0%+0.2%53.1%50.8%
Q15 IntPlaces of origin37.6%31.3%-6.2%5.9%11.3%+5.4%33.3%31.1%-2.2%22.1%34.4%
Q16 IntUnique places of stay18.4%22.0%+3.6%32.1%26.7%-5.4%51.7%47.3%-4.4%50.0%49.0%
Q18 IntStay w/ person name33.2%31.3%-1.8%18.2%16.9%-1.3%86.6%78.4%-8.2%67.4%46.2%
Q19 IntBracket total26.2%35.2%+9.1%60.8%56.4%-4.4%40.3%44.5%+4.2%77.4%50.0%
Transcription
Q10 TextWords after con81.4%81.2%-0.2%62.6%60.3%-2.2%92.0%91.2%-0.8%91.0%88.0%
Q12 TextWords after e54.7%56.9%+2.1%44.3%40.3%-4.1%55.3%54.8%-0.6%70.4%62.3%
Q22 TextAnnotation text85.7%85.3%-0.4%60.0%58.4%-1.6%83.8%82.2%-1.6%90.1%84.5%
Counting + Spatial location
Q17 PairStay per column31.6%28.2%-3.4%15.4%14.4%-1.0%64.1%59.9%-4.2%47.2%40.3%
Q20 PairBrackets per column23.8%29.0%+5.2%47.7%48.5%+0.8%39.5%42.7%+3.1%77.4%42.8%
Transcription + Rule-based resolution
Q2 IntYear?50.4%50.7%+0.4%59.1%55.9%-3.2%71.9%71.2%-0.8%67.9%50.7%
Overall55.4%55.9%+0.5%51.0%49.2%-1.8%68.3%68.0%-0.4%71.7%66.8%